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Paradise in Gridlock: Phuket’s traffic and the Science of Smarter Cities

Paradise in Gridlock: Phuket’s traffic and the Science of Smarter Cities

It’s 8am on a muggy Tuesday and I’m sitting in traffic on Phuket’s Chaofa West Road, barely inching. As most of you know, this is the daily norm – worse in the rainy season and worse still during the school run. So, I started thinking: how did this tropical paradise – known for its beaches and serenity – end up with a rush hour that feels like downtown Bangkok? And more importantly, what could science do about it?

Science
By Marco Capriz

Saturday 2 August 2025 01:00 PM


Image: Supplied

Image: Supplied

Island Rush Hour, Global Problems

Phuket’s infamous traffic snarls are a daily reality for locals and visitors alike. The island’s road network is a complex interconnection of narrow lanes, winding coastal roads, and a few main arteries. Over the years, surging tourism and population growth have poured more vehicles onto these limited roads, turning routine journeys into daily ordeals. From the old streets of Phuket Town to the hotel-lined hills of Patong Beach, traffic jams have become as much a part of the landscape as palm trees and samlors. During peak tourist season, those narrow roads clog with rental cars, scooters, and tour buses, testing the patience of even the most zen travellers (I am not one!)

In a way, Phuket’s traffic conundrum is a microcosm of urban problems around the world. The island’s geography – essentially a mountainous rock in the Andaman Sea – means there are only so many places to lay asphalt. Steep hills funnel everyone into the same bottlenecks, and if one accident occurs on a major road (or a tunnel floods), forget it. There are few, if any, alternate routes to pick up the slack. Our planet works the same way – a closed system with finite limits. Phuket can’t sprawl its way out of congestion because sea and mountains are in the way. In that sense, our island is a living lab for global urban challenges, from traffic jams to climate woes.

Consider climate change: much of the world’s carbon emissions come from cities and transport. In fact, transportation is one of the fastest-growing sources of greenhouse gases worldwide, making up roughly 27% of global emissions. All those idling engines on Phuket’s roads aren’t just wasting holiday time – they’re contributing to a bigger atmospheric traffic jam. Traffic is also the number one source of air pollution globally, which might explain why the view of the turquoise sea is sometimes hazy by late afternoon. If Phuket’s traffic seems like a local headache, it’s also a symptom of a worldwide fever.

Yet, let’s be clear: this isn’t a doom-and-gloom climate sermon. Rather, Phuket’s gridlock can teach us about solutions. The way this island tackles congestion could ripple out as a model for other cities, showing how to break free from what we might call the “perpetual jam”. But to get there, it helps to think of the city in a new way – not just as roads and buildings, but as something alive. So, let’s look at this problem as a biologist might.

Urban Metabolism: A City that Eats and Breathes

Imagine Phuket as a living organism. Each morning it gulps down fuel and food – petrol for vehicles, electricity for homes, rice and noodles for its people – and each evening it exhales exhaust fumes and rubbish. Urban planners actually have a term for this: “urban metabolism,” referring to the sum of all the processes by which a city consumes resources, produces goods, and generates waste. Just as we speak of a person’s metabolism (fast or slow, healthy or, in my case, entirely dependent on coffee), a city’s metabolism describes how well it converts energy and resources into motion and service.

In Phuket’s case, the “metabolism” often feels a bit like mine after a large Pad Thai – sluggish. The city’s circulatory system, its roads, are clogged like arteries laden with cholesterol. Traffic is the bloodstream of an urban metabolism, moving people (the lifeblood of any city economy) from home to work to market. When those flows get backed up, it’s a sign of imbalance: too much “intake” (vehicles, trips, fuel) and not enough “exercise” (efficient transit or planning). It’s not hard to see the parallel with the global system – Earth is an island too, with finite limits and a need to balance what we use and waste.

Phuket’s struggles with congestion highlight how short-term fixes can falter if they don’t account for this bigger picture. For years, the go-to solution for traffic was simple: build more roads or widen the ones we have. At first glance, it makes sense – more lanes should mean more cars can go through, right? But as any driver who’s sat on a newly widened road that somehow is jammed again within months can attest, it’s a Band-Aid on a bullet wound. Urbanists even have a darkly humorous analogy: “Building more roads to cure congestion is like loosening your belt to deal with obesity.” All it does is more growth without addressing the cause. After a few months, all that has been accomplished is to allow more vehicles on the road with the same results as before the roads widened.

Now, this isn’t about blaming anyone. It’s human nature (and political reality) to go for visible, quick solutions – a flyover here, an extra lane there – rather than holistic ones that take longer. But Phuket’s finite space and fragile environment mean short-term thinking is hitting a wall (quite literally, when you reach the end of the road at the sea). The island’s challenges gently nudge us toward more creative, science-based approaches that treat the whole system.

Physics of Road Occupancy: How Buses Bend Space
Let’s talk physics for a moment. A car carries, on average, 1.3 people and takes up about 10 square metres of road space when moving. A standard city bus takes about 40 square metres but can carry 60 passengers. That’s 1.5 square metres per person for a bus, versus over 7 square metres per person in a car – five times more efficient per head. In physics terms, that’s an efficiency gain in spatial occupancy comparable to switching from incandescent bulbs to LEDs. Public transport compresses people spatially: more movement, less space. That matters on an island where space is finite, and asphalt competes with trees, homes, and drainage. Now let’s look at what biology could teach urban planners.

Feedback Loops and Regulatory Hormones: Why Rules Work
In biological systems, regulation is everything. You don’t grow a second liver every time you drink too much. The body adjusts via hormones, enzymes, and feedback loops that keep the system in check. Cities need similar mechanisms. Congestion charges are metabolic inhibitors; they reduce demand economically, by price signal, rather than through biochemistry. In effect, they limit usage, therefore they restrict overconsumption of limited resources (in this case, road space). Bus lanes function like arteries with high-pressure laminar flow: fast, smooth, protected. If these arteries are blocked by rogue vehicles, the flow collapses, and the system clots. In physics, this is entropy at work - order degrades unless energy is constantly spent maintaining it. That energy, in a city, comes from enforcement and intelligent policy, not from paving more lanes.

Once we understand traffic in a scientific context, we can define the rules that science suggests to find solutions. These rules can be easily simulated on a computer so they can be refined before they are implemented in practice.

SimCity with a Brain: How Agent-Based Modelling Can Help

If the term “agent-based modelling” (ABM) makes your eyes glaze over, don’t worry – it’s far friendlier than it sounds. In fact, if you’ve ever played a life simulation game or watched a colony of ants, you already get the gist. ABM is basically a high-tech version of playing SimCity or Conway’s Game of Life on a computer, except the little pixels or characters represent real people (or cars, or even entire buildings) and follow simple rules of behaviour. From those simple rules, complex patterns emerge – sometimes strange, sometimes chaotic, but always illuminating.

Here’s an example: back in the 1970s, mathematician John Conway created the Game of Life – a grid where each cell follows a couple of basic rules (live or die based on neighbours), and these rules lead to ever-changing patterns that look surprisingly organic. Agent-based modelling works on a similar principle of emergence. Instead of grid cells, imagine digital drivers on a map of Phuket. Give each driver some straightforward rules – go if the light is green, stop if it’s red; if it’s 7:30am, drive towards the city centre – and then hit “run” on the simulation. What happens next is fascinating: these individual “agents” start interacting, and soon enough, virtual traffic jams form at chokepoints, just like real life.

Why is this useful? Because once you have a realistic model of how traffic behaves, you can play “what if” with it. What if school start times were staggered by 15 minutes – would the morning jam ease? What if we add a new bus line from Cherngtalay to Phuket Town – how many cars might it take off the road? How many single occupancy car drivers would be deterred by a congestion charge? With ABM, planners can tweak the virtual island and see what happens before pouring concrete or rolling out a policy.

ABM isn’t just for academics. Around the world, cities use these models to design smarter systems. What’s stopping Phuket from doing the same? Nothing, except perhaps the inertia of short-term fixes. And maybe, a little habit of waiting until problems become crises.

Conclusion

So, what can we actually expect? Some improvements will be quick – AI traffic lights might shave a few minutes off the school run. Others, like a working tram system or meaningful reductions in emissions, will take time, coordination, and a bit of political stamina. But the point is, progress isn’t out of reach. Phuket doesn’t need to wait for the perfect masterplan. It needs better use of the tools already on the table – solid data, clear priorities, and a willingness to look past the next tourist season. If planners and local leaders can keep nudging decisions in that direction – even slowly – this island could become known not only for its beaches, but for showing that smarter cities don’t need to be bigger, richer, or perfect. They just need to start.